comparison ai.go @ 0:43e580fa4719

first commit.
author pyon@macmini
date Mon, 04 Sep 2017 21:40:33 +0900
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children c32b619844ba
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-1:000000000000 0:43e580fa4719
1 package main
2
3 import (
4 "fmt"
5 "io/ioutil"
6 "math"
7 "math/rand"
8 "log"
9 "os"
10 "sort"
11 "strconv"
12 "strings"
13 "time"
14 )
15
16 // パラメタ変数
17 var plabel []string
18 var w1_11, w1_12, w1_21, w1_22 []float64
19 var b1_1, b1_2 []float64
20 var h1_11, h1_12, h1_21, h1_22 []float64
21 var w2_11, w2_21 []float64
22 var b2_1 []float64
23 var s1, s2 float64
24
25 // パラメタ以外の変数
26 const st int = 10 // とりあえず 10セット試す
27 const dd int = 7 // とりあえず 7日を予想
28 const pp int = 2009 // とりあえず pp種類のパラメタ
29 var x1, x2 float64
30 var y [st][dd][pp]float64
31 var e [st][pp]float64
32 var lstart [st]string // 学習データの開始日
33 var lx1, lx2 [st]float64
34 var lans [st][dd]float64
35 var ps, sw time.Time
36
37 // 評価ソート用
38 type Es struct {
39 idx int
40 val float64
41 }
42 var ea [pp]Es
43
44 func init() {
45 ps = time.Now()
46 lstart[0] = "2007-04-02"
47 lstart[1] = "2007-10-01"
48 lstart[2] = "2008-04-01"
49 lstart[3] = "2008-10-01"
50 lstart[4] = "2009-04-01"
51 lstart[5] = "2009-10-01"
52 lstart[6] = "2010-04-01"
53 lstart[7] = "2010-10-01"
54 lstart[8] = "2011-04-01"
55 lstart[9] = "2011-10-03"
56 }
57
58 // メイン
59 func main() {
60
61 dfile := "ai_input.dat"
62 pfile := "param.dat"
63
64 // データ入力
65 if err := read_data( dfile ); err != nil {
66 fmt.Fprintf( os.Stderr, "%v\n", err )
67 os.Exit( 1 )
68 }
69 swatch( "data input done." )
70
71 // パラメタ入力
72 if err := read_param( pfile ); err != nil {
73 fmt.Fprintf( os.Stderr, "%v\n", err )
74 os.Exit( 1 )
75 }
76 swatch( "param read done." )
77
78 // 計算 & 評価
79 calc_eval()
80 swatch( "calc & eval done." )
81
82 // 初期値出力
83 mfile := "data/s00.dat"
84 if err := save_tmp( mfile, true, false ); err != nil {
85 fmt.Fprintf( os.Stderr, "%v\n", err )
86 log.Fatal( err )
87 }
88 swatch( "mid-save done." )
89
90 // パラメタ書換えつつ探索
91 for n := 0; n < 200; n++ {
92 update()
93 swatch( "update done." )
94
95 calc_eval()
96 swatch( "calc & eval done." )
97 mfile = fmt.Sprintf( "data/m%02d.dat", n )
98 if err := save_tmp( mfile, true, false ); err != nil {
99 fmt.Fprintf( os.Stderr, "%v\n", err )
100 log.Fatal( err )
101 }
102 swatch( "mid-save done." )
103 }
104
105 // 最終出力
106 /*
107 ofile := "data/out.dat"
108 if err := save_result( ofile, 0, 0.0 ); err != nil {
109 fmt.Fprintf( os.Stderr, "%v\n", err )
110 os.Exit( 1 )
111 }
112 */
113 swatch( "finish.." )
114 }
115
116
117 // データの読込み
118 //#通番 年月日 始値 高値 安値 終値 3日平均 7日平均 30日平均
119 //0001 2007-04-02 117.84 118.08 117.46 117.84 117.84 117.84 117.84
120 func read_data( file string ) error {
121 data, err := ioutil.ReadFile( file )
122 if err != nil {
123 return err
124 }
125
126 // 学習データ
127 j, skip := 0, 0
128 var lsidx [st]int // learning-set start index
129 var value []string
130 for i, line := range strings.Split( string( data ), "\n" ) {
131 if strings.HasPrefix( line, "#" ) {
132 skip++
133 } else {
134 buf := strings.Fields( line )
135 if len( buf ) == 0 {
136 skip++
137 continue
138 }
139 value = append( value, buf[5] )
140 if j < st && buf[1] == lstart[j] {
141 lsidx[j] = i - skip
142 j++
143 }
144 }
145 }
146
147 for i, _ := range lstart {
148 var f float64
149 f, _ = strconv.ParseFloat( value[ lsidx[i] + 1], 64 ); lx1[i] = f
150 f, _ = strconv.ParseFloat( value[ lsidx[i] ], 64 ); lx2[i] = f
151 for j := 0; j < dd; j++ {
152 f, _ = strconv.ParseFloat( value[ lsidx[i] + j + 2 ], 64 ); lans[i][j] = f
153 }
154 }
155
156 // 検証データ
157
158 return nil
159 }
160
161 // パラメタの読込み
162 func read_param( file string ) error {
163 data, err := ioutil.ReadFile( file )
164 if err != nil {
165 return err
166 }
167 for _, line := range strings.Split( string( data ), "\n" ) {
168 if !strings.HasPrefix( line, "#" ) {
169 buf := strings.Fields( line )
170 if len( buf ) == 0 {
171 continue
172 }
173 plabel = append( plabel, buf[0] )
174
175 var f float64
176 f, _ = strconv.ParseFloat( buf[1], 64 ); w1_11 = append( w1_11, f * 0.1 )
177 f, _ = strconv.ParseFloat( buf[2], 64 ); w1_12 = append( w1_12, f * 0.1 )
178 f, _ = strconv.ParseFloat( buf[3], 64 ); w1_21 = append( w1_21, f * 0.1 )
179 f, _ = strconv.ParseFloat( buf[4], 64 ); w1_22 = append( w1_22, f * 0.1 )
180
181 f, _ = strconv.ParseFloat( buf[5], 64 ); b1_1 = append( b1_1, f * 0.1 )
182 f, _ = strconv.ParseFloat( buf[6], 64 ); b1_2 = append( b1_2, f * 0.1 )
183
184 f, _ = strconv.ParseFloat( buf[7], 64 ); h1_11 = append( h1_11, f * 0.1 )
185 f, _ = strconv.ParseFloat( buf[8], 64 ); h1_12 = append( h1_12, f * 0.1 )
186 f, _ = strconv.ParseFloat( buf[9], 64 ); h1_21 = append( h1_21, f * 0.1 )
187 f, _ = strconv.ParseFloat( buf[10], 64 ); h1_22 = append( h1_22, f * 0.1 )
188
189 f, _ = strconv.ParseFloat( buf[11], 64 ); w2_11 = append( w2_11, f * 0.1 )
190 f, _ = strconv.ParseFloat( buf[12], 64 ); w2_21 = append( w2_21, f * 0.1 )
191
192 f, _ = strconv.ParseFloat( buf[13], 64 ); b2_1 = append( b2_1, f * 0.1 )
193 }
194 }
195 return nil
196 }
197
198 // 結果を保存
199 func save_tmp( file string, save, detail bool ) error {
200 if !save {
201 return nil
202 }
203
204 os.Remove( file )
205 f, err := os.OpenFile( file, os.O_CREATE|os.O_WRONLY, 0644 )
206 if err != nil {
207 return err
208 }
209 if detail {
210 for i := 0; i < st; i++ {
211 for p := 0; p < pp; p++ {
212 s := fmt.Sprintf( "e = %10.2f / %2d:%s\n", e[i][p], i, plabel[p] )
213 f.WriteString( s )
214 for d := 0; d < dd; d++ {
215 s = fmt.Sprintf( "%10.2f ( %.2f )\n", y[i][d][p], lans[i][d] )
216 f.WriteString( s )
217 }
218 }
219 f.WriteString( "----\n" );
220 }
221 }
222 for p := 0; p < pp; p++ {
223 s := fmt.Sprintf( "ea = %7.2f / EA:%s [ ", ea[p].val, plabel[p] )
224 s += fmt.Sprintf( "%3.1f %3.1f %3.1f %3.1f ", w1_11[p], w1_12[p], w1_21[p], w1_22[p] )
225 s += fmt.Sprintf( "%3.1f %3.1f ", b1_1[p], b1_2[p] )
226 s += fmt.Sprintf( "%3.1f %3.1f %3.1f %3.1f ", h1_11[p], h1_12[p], h1_21[p], h1_22[p] )
227 s += fmt.Sprintf( "%3.1f %3.1f ", w2_11[p], w2_21[p] )
228 s += fmt.Sprintf( "%3.1f ]\n", b2_1[p] )
229 f.WriteString( s )
230 }
231 if err := f.Close(); err != nil {
232 return err
233 }
234 return nil
235 }
236
237 func save_result( file string, line int, result float64 ) error {
238 return nil
239 }
240
241 // 計算と評価
242 func calc_eval() {
243 for p := 0; p < pp; p++ {
244 ea[p].idx = p
245 ea[p].val = 0.0
246 }
247 for i := 0; i < st; i++ {
248 for p := 0; p < pp; p++ {
249 initialize( i )
250 for d := 0; d < dd; d++ {
251 y[i][d][p] = do_calc( p )
252 }
253 e[i][p] = evaluate( i, p )
254 ea[p].val += e[i][p]
255 }
256 }
257 for p := 0; p < pp; p++ {
258 if ea[p].val > 10000 {
259 ea[p].val = 9999.99
260 }
261 }
262 }
263
264 // アルゴリズム
265 func initialize( i int ) {
266 x1, x2 = lx1[i], lx2[i]
267 s1, s2 = 0.0, 0.0
268 }
269
270 func do_calc( p int ) float64 {
271
272 a1 := x1 * w1_11[p] + x2 * w1_21[p] + s1 * h1_11[p] + s2 * h1_21[p] + b1_1[p]
273 a2 := x1 * w1_12[p] + x2 * w1_22[p] + s1 * h1_12[p] + s2 * h1_22[p] + b1_2[p]
274
275 // ReLU
276 if a1 < 0 {
277 s1 = 0
278 } else {
279 s1 = a1
280 }
281 if a2 < 0 {
282 s2 = 0
283 } else {
284 s2 = a2
285 }
286
287 y1 := a1 * w2_11[p] + a2 * w2_21[p] + b2_1[p]
288
289 x2 = x1
290 x1 = y1
291
292 return y1
293 }
294
295 // 評価関数
296 func evaluate( i, p int ) float64 {
297 var e float64
298 for d := 0; d < dd; d++ {
299 e += ( lans[i][d] - y[i][d][p] ) * ( lans[i][d] - y[i][d][p] )
300 }
301 e /= float64(dd)
302 return e
303 }
304
305 // パラメタ更新
306 func update() {
307 // backup
308 var bplabel []string
309 var bw1_11, bw1_12, bw1_21, bw1_22 []float64
310 var bb1_1, bb1_2 []float64
311 var bh1_11, bh1_12, bh1_21, bh1_22 []float64
312 var bw2_11, bw2_21 []float64
313 var bb2_1 []float64
314
315 es := ea[:]
316 sort.SliceStable( es, func( i, j int ) bool { return es[i].val < es[j].val } )
317 for i := 0; i < 7; i++ {
318 j := es[i].idx
319 bplabel = append( bplabel, plabel[j] )
320
321 bw1_11 = append( bw1_11, w1_11[j] )
322 bw1_12 = append( bw1_12, w1_12[j] )
323 bw1_21 = append( bw1_21, w1_21[j] )
324 bw1_22 = append( bw1_22, w1_22[j] )
325
326 bb1_1 = append( bb1_1, b1_1[j] )
327 bb1_2 = append( bb1_2, b1_2[j] )
328
329 bh1_11 = append( bh1_11, h1_11[j] )
330 bh1_12 = append( bh1_12, h1_12[j] )
331 bh1_21 = append( bh1_21, h1_21[j] )
332 bh1_22 = append( bh1_22, h1_22[j] )
333
334 bw2_11 = append( bw2_11, w2_11[j] )
335 bw2_21 = append( bw2_21, w2_21[j] )
336
337 bb2_1 = append( bb2_1, b2_1[j] )
338 }
339
340 rand.Seed( time.Now().UnixNano() )
341 for p := 0; p < pp; p++ {
342 plabel[p] = fmt.Sprintf( "%04d", p )
343 i := int( math.Mod( float64( p ), 7 ) )
344
345 w1_11[p] = bw1_11[i] + float64( rand.Intn( 3 ) - 1 )
346 w1_12[p] = bw1_12[i] + float64( rand.Intn( 3 ) - 1 )
347 w1_21[p] = bw1_21[i] + float64( rand.Intn( 3 ) - 1 )
348 w1_22[p] = bw1_22[i] + float64( rand.Intn( 3 ) - 1 )
349
350 b1_1[p] = bb1_1[i] + float64( rand.Intn( 3 ) - 1 )
351 b1_2[p] = bb1_2[i] + float64( rand.Intn( 3 ) - 1 )
352
353 h1_11[p] = bh1_11[i] + float64( rand.Intn( 3 ) - 1 )
354 h1_12[p] = bh1_12[i] + float64( rand.Intn( 3 ) - 1 )
355 h1_21[p] = bh1_21[i] + float64( rand.Intn( 3 ) - 1 )
356 h1_22[p] = bh1_22[i] + float64( rand.Intn( 3 ) - 1 )
357
358 w2_11[p] = bw2_11[i] + float64( rand.Intn( 3 ) - 1 )
359 w2_21[p] = bw2_21[i] + float64( rand.Intn( 3 ) - 1 )
360
361 b2_1[p] = bb2_1[i] + float64( rand.Intn( 3 ) - 1 )
362 }
363 }
364
365 // 時間計測
366 func swatch( s string ) {
367 sw = time.Now()
368 fmt.Fprintf( os.Stderr, "[ %v ( %v ) ]\t%s.\n", time.Since( ps ), time.Since( sw ), s )
369 }
370